Probability that we see the pattern HHT before HTH in tossing a coin
Jan 2, 2023
Let p is the probability HHT comes before HTH. (STATE ZERO)
p = 1*(0.5)² (HH -> WINNING SCENARIO) + 0*(0.5)³ (HTH -> LOSING SCENARIO) + (0.5)³p (HTT -> GAME RESETS) + 0.5P (T -> GAME RESETS)
AFTER SOLVING, p = 2/3
A simple way of looking at it is this way, Once we flip an H,
Possible outcomes for next two tosses are HT -> WINNING SCENARIO
HH -> WINNING SCENARIO
TH -> LOSING SCENARIO
TT -> GAME RESETS
Therefore, 2 out of 3 outcomes(which give a result) are winning scenarios. Hence, p -> 2/3